IMI-Aktuell 2015/233

Ukraine: Verletzung des Waffenstillstands?

von: 28. April 2015


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Trotz der wiederholten Vorwürfe seitens der ukrainischen Regierung und der USA, die Separatisten und/oder Russland würden den Minsk-II-Waffenstillstand verletzten, schreibt der private Nachrichtendienst Strategic Forecast, dies sei nicht der Fall: „Russia is unlikely to opt for a significant military offensive in Ukraine because of logistical, military and financial constraints. Despite the reported buildup on the border and increase in air defenses, Russian-backed separatists have largely respected the cease-fire in eastern Ukraine. Fighting still takes place on a daily basis, often with lethal casualties, but it remains more or less limited to the established contact line. Separatist forces have not conducted any actual offensives, and both sides have withdrawn most major artillery systems in accordance with the cease-fire agreement.“ (jw)